Small silhouette of Doug Wolkon WELCOME TO PLURANOMICS, THE ECONOMICS OF MANY.

Recession

Recession Smession

Dramatic unemployment increases in financial services, construction and autos will be the real shoe to drop. Who will pay for all these billions of dollars of writedowns? Oh, I forgot, the Fed has the ability to actually print more food and oil – yeah right, was Bernanke ever taught the first rule of Economics: Land is Scarce.

So how much of our newly printed paper is currently being bought by our social security system – talk about drinking your own blood. The welfare state will inevitably be forced to solve their huge inefficient costs of entitlements and armed forces. Continued »

Subprime is a Fancy Word for Too Much Debt

Subprime is a fancy word for too much debt. Adam Smith would actually say that housing over and above shelter has no utility value. If that is true, we are in for some serious additional write downs (think second homes).

On another note, Subprime could have worked if the loans stayed true to their risk and were made at “loan shark” type rates (5% “money-down” should have warranted a 20% rate; instead we were lending it at 7-10%). As a result, we were only realizing less return on a greater expense in the form of lower and lower investment rates (Menger, Say, Smith, Jevons and others), but more risk. Continued »